Some just presume more plausible things than others
Minimum reference class SSA, roughly the view that you should only update on the fact that _someone_ made "your" observations, is not presumptuous AFAICT. See Builes (2020), Part 2 for an IMO compelling defense of this view.
https://dspace.mit.edu/bitstream/handle/1721.1/127150/1191839832-MIT.pdf?sequence=1
Minimum reference class SSA, roughly the view that you should only update on the fact that _someone_ made "your" observations, is not presumptuous AFAICT. See Builes (2020), Part 2 for an IMO compelling defense of this view.
https://dspace.mit.edu/bitstream/handle/1721.1/127150/1191839832-MIT.pdf?sequence=1