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Abe's avatar

I'm curious to hear someone on the frontline of research give an estimate of the tractability here. This problem seems pretty robust against all the known methods of improving LLMs. It's gonna take some major hyperpolation on the part of the humans to finally pass that ability on to the silicon generation.

Yllus Navillus's avatar

This reminds me of something I always get pulled back to thinking about which is the way Peirce understood the distinction between deduction, induction, and abduction. For him, abduction wasn't anything like IBE. The way I understand Peirce's carving, he thinks deduction is non-ampliative reasoning to a conclusion, induction is ampliative reasoning to a conclusion, and abduction is something like reasoning to a hypothesis space or generating candidate explanations. So we use abduction to generate hypotheses, we use deduction to work out the consequences of hypotheses, and we use induction to confirm and disconfirm hypotheses. Might be that AI is also bad at abduction in Peirce's sense.

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