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Noah Birnbaum's avatar

Two general points:

1) It seems like we shouldn't treat our intuitions the same across different spaces - especially if we know where that we are likely to develop bad intuitions for, say, evolutionary reasons (think scope neglect), there may be reasons to flat-out reject them. We must understand that intuitions come about via a process of empirical stuff over the course of time in an evolutionary process and can't treat them any differently because they "feel different."

2) It seems like your approach is more frequentist than Bayesian (not saying that there is anything wrong with that, I'm merely pointing it out). This is the case, in that, the initial intuition serves as a sort of null hypothesis as opposed to perhaps just a probability (and given the fact that you have no information, you may use some indifference principle to equally distribute credences among the partition). I would say, however, that it seems like if you do use this approach towards the skeptical problem, perhaps you should use it more consistently across all of epistemology (as I don't see why the cases would be so different in method).

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Paul Litvak's avatar

I don't think the existence of free will is all that intuitive if you look closely at direct experience. Seems like the contents of consciousness are not under any control at all. As a practice:

What is this feeling of will or control that we have? Start by examining the experience of considering a decision. It could be something simple, like deciding what to eat, or something complicated, like a major life decision. Notice both the reasons and the feelings that enter into your awareness while you are considering that decision. Where did the reasons and the feelings come from? Did you choose to feel the way you feel about the options? Did you choose the reasons that enter into your awareness in order to evaluate the options? You might say that the feelings and the reasons came from your self (whatever that is!) — but that begs the question. Could you choose to have different feelings, or different reasons? Try to feel otherwise, or try to have different reasons. First, where did the trying come from? If you watch carefully, can you experience the beginning of the intention to have other feelings or reasons emerge? Where did that intention come from? If new feelings or reasons entered into awareness, did you choose their contents? Where is the choosing? Keep searching and see what you can find. Is there anything like free will in your direct experience?

On the flip side you might want to check out Erik Hoels argument for free will in The World Behind the World. Here's how he puts it: "Having free will means being an agent that is causally emergent at the relevant level of description, for whom recent internal states are causally more relevant than distant past states, and who is computationally irreducible.". Causal emergence is a very interesting idea - at a high level here's how he describes it: "In our original introduction of the idea of causal emergence, which was based on identifying cases where the macroscale has greater effective information than the microscale, we maintained that the macroscale excluded the causation at the microscale.4 That is, it flipped Kim’s exclusion argument via intellectual judo: since we know that the macroscale is a better description of the causation governing two descriptions of the exact same occurrence, then what do we need the microscale for? In this view, the macroscale really does push around the microscale, and macroscale events really do cause microscale events."

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